2019-2020 Gubernatorial Election Predictions, 8-8-2019 to 8-14-2019

With the 2019 gubernatorial cycle about to be complete in form following the Mississippi run-off and the anticipated Louisiana jungle primary and runoff, the 2020 races seem like a distant concern far off in the distance. After all, more focus tends to be on the federal level of government to the dismay of state legislators and executives. However, this week saw a spike of activity for both years’ gubernatorial races, including a mostly silent until now race. Without any more delay, here are this week’s highlights: 1.) Washington State A mostly silent race that remains a safe Democratic race as … Continue reading 2019-2020 Gubernatorial Election Predictions, 8-8-2019 to 8-14-2019

Democratic Primary Banter #3, Jay Inslee’s Choice

To start the conversation over Jay Inslee’s presidential bid, let’s start with a political opinion that makes reasonable sense: Governors make better Presidents. Naturally, a statewide executive is going to handle a federal executive position better than a legislator trying to switch branches of government. This isn’t to say that legislators, like House Representatives or Senators, would make bad executive branch leaders, but that Governors come with that skill set already in hand. Speaking from the perspective that Bill Clinton, George W. Bush, Ronald Reagan, and Jimmy Carter were all governors of their respective states, the natural assumption is that … Continue reading Democratic Primary Banter #3, Jay Inslee’s Choice

Democratic Primary Banter #2, Mike Gravel’s Success

Out of all of the Democratic candidates, Mike Gravel’s campaign seemed the most interesting by description alone. Gravel had made clear his intentions of pushing the Democratic Party leftwards in the debates, and they certainly followed that trend. He, by his own accord, claimed that his goal was not to win or continue past the debates, only to achieve that one objective. Stranger is the fact that the 85-year old Gravel’s campaign was mostly pushed forward by people towards the youngest bloc of the voting demographic. To say that the age differential between the candidate and his supporters was surprising … Continue reading Democratic Primary Banter #2, Mike Gravel’s Success

Democratic Primary Banter #4, Bill de Blasio’s Appearance On Hannity

To say that there are various ideological differences between Fox News host Sean Hannity and presidential candidate Bill de Blasio would be to drastically undercut that divide. Despite the various criticisms that both individuals may have towards each other, de Blasio’s debut signaled that even the most ardent progressives would be better to broadcast themselves on less friendly or alternative media. The limited reach of multiple appearances on MSNBC and CNN can only get a candidate so far, so unconventional campaigning is necessary for a candidate whom conventional wisdom indicates will lose quickly. Despite trying to be the most pure … Continue reading Democratic Primary Banter #4, Bill de Blasio’s Appearance On Hannity

2020 Senatorial Election Predictions, 8-8-2019 to 8-14-2019

The past few weeks have been trending negatively regarding the news, where the past two weeks in particular saw misguided criticisms launched at a variety of subjects. Nevertheless, the 2020 election train keeps chugging onwards. The Republicans, although facing a less hospitable map in 2020, are still poised to do relatively well as the Democrats struggle to gather powerful candidates. Other candidates like Amy McGrath have run into stumbling blocks from the get-go, which can always be turned into a negative PR moment. The general point is this: Republicans have been able to turn a potentially disastrous map and deny … Continue reading 2020 Senatorial Election Predictions, 8-8-2019 to 8-14-2019

The House Always Wins, 8-8-2019 to 8-14-2019

This week had an assortment of stories which reaffirmed several points in contemporary American politics: the division between left and right is widening, the fringes are fighting the establishment, and the political affiliation across the country is shifting. This week also had a more negative tone to it than previous weeks, following the post-Dayton and El Paso period sentiment. With that background established, let’s see where the table stands: 1.) Justice Democrats The Chakrabarti-influenced organization made the following endorsements in several blue districts: Alex Morse to challenge Richard Neal in MA-01, Morgan Harper to challenge Joyce Beatty in OH-03, and … Continue reading The House Always Wins, 8-8-2019 to 8-14-2019

The House Always Wins, 8-1-2019 to 8-7-2019

The past week has seen another wave of House Republican retirements, including in the district held by Will Hurd, a swing district with a rating of R+1. This week has also seen a roller-coaster of developments come from the House, as powerful candidates on both sides have announced their runs. In addition, there was some scarce polling that is usually not as available towards individual House races. With a bulk of information to get through, here’s where the table stands: 1.) John Ratcliffe’s Promotion Denied Immediately after Ratcliffe’s name was put forward for consideration for the Director of National Intelligence … Continue reading The House Always Wins, 8-1-2019 to 8-7-2019