The Grand Map, Senate, 11-3-2019

The Senate map continues it trend of the most vulnerable Senators falling further in their reception, while the potential battleground races are retreating back to their partisan leanings. The most vulnerable GOP Senators are also struggling in the fundraising race, with Joni Ernst, Martha McSally, and Thom Tillis falling behind. There have also been some updates elsewhere that are worth noting as well as some important numbers to mention. With that exposition out of the way, let’s take a look at The Grand Map: Like the Grand Map article for this month, the chronological organization of the Senate races will … Continue reading The Grand Map, Senate, 11-3-2019

2019-2020 Gubernatorial Election Predictions, 10-28-2019 to 11-3-2019

First things first, the next three weeks will see the last updates for the 2019 gubernatorial elections considering that Kentucky and Mississippi will be settled on Tuesday with Louisiana not far behind. With this year having been a personal success, coverage of the 2021 and 2022 gubernatorial races will begin at the conclusion of the 2019 series. The second thing to mention is that with the holidays likely to bring a lull in political updates, I might not be posting as much as I would usually. With that out of the way, let’s talk about this week’s highlights (and the … Continue reading 2019-2020 Gubernatorial Election Predictions, 10-28-2019 to 11-3-2019

2020 Senatorial Election Predictions, 10-14-2019 to 10-19-2019

While the Republicans are making solid strides in the governorships that are up, the Senate side is largely diverging based on how the state leans politically. The potential battleground elections like Texas, Kentucky, Montana, and Georgia are all heading the way of the Republican incumbents. Meanwhile, the most swingy states that are having Senate elections are showing issues for both Republican and Democratic candidates. North Carolina, Maine, and Iowa are prime examples. That being said, it’s still too early to say if these trends will stay consistent or change. With all of that established, let’s get to this week’s highlights: … Continue reading 2020 Senatorial Election Predictions, 10-14-2019 to 10-19-2019

The House Always Wins, 9-29-2019 to 10-5-2019

The topic of impeachment has become stale and tasteless three years going into Donald Trump’s tenure, with Nancy Pelosi trying to have both wings of the party appeased going into the general election. With several swing district Democrats voicing their support for impeachment, Pelosi’s attempt to hold the hounds back has been in vain. This also comes as the GOP is recruiting powerful candidates who can make the districts they lost more competitive ahead of the 2020 general election. With that observation noted, let’s see where the table stands: 1.) The Quiet Race That The GOP Wants in Virginia Virginia’s … Continue reading The House Always Wins, 9-29-2019 to 10-5-2019

2020 Senatorial Election Predictions, 9-29-2019 to 10-5-2019

There have been several major updates for the Senate elections in 2020, most notably with campaign fundraising updates from the third quarter of 2019. The slate of new endorsements and polling information also help to round out this week. Also, there were some updates from the 24th of September that I missed that I will be mentioning here. With that established, let’s talk about this week’s highlights: 1.) New Jersey (Missed story from September 24th, 2019.) Stuart Meissner has announced his intentions to run for the New Jersey Senate seat in the Republican primary. With his entry, the Republicans have … Continue reading 2020 Senatorial Election Predictions, 9-29-2019 to 10-5-2019

2019-2020 Gubernatorial Election Predictions, 9-12-2019 to 9-21-2019

With the October jungle primary in Louisiana next month, it shouldn’t be surprising that a major amount of attention has been moved towards the Bayou State. John Bel Edwards, unassisted by a notoriously weak down-ballot effort by his own party, is hoping for the clear majority that would give him the governorship uncontested for the next four years. Recent polling, however, has indicated a runoff with U.S. Representative Ralph Abraham that could be incredibly tight. Besides Louisiana, there’s also an abundance of news from across the US regarding the gubernatorial races. Without any more delay, let’s get to this week’s … Continue reading 2019-2020 Gubernatorial Election Predictions, 9-12-2019 to 9-21-2019

Third Party Politics, 9-5-2019 to 9-11-2019

A recent article by Spectator USA laid out specific information relevant to the Libertarian Presidential Primaries in 2020 that was otherwise unclear. Up until now, the list of candidates was unclear to me, making commentary on the subject difficult at best. While the Libertarian providing information for the Spectator USA article was still unclear about how many more candidates would join the race, there is solid information to go off of. The first major component of the update involves the leading five Libertarian candidates being invited to a debate hosted by the South Carolina Libertarian Party. South Carolina is the … Continue reading Third Party Politics, 9-5-2019 to 9-11-2019