2026 Gubernatorial Election Predictions, 5-12-2024, Kathy Hochul Makes An Accidental Racist Comment About Black Students And Computers

Governor Kathy Hochul has been producing a series of bangers as far as poor policy decisions, failing to meet low expectations, and being that suburban mom girl boss that everyone loves to dislike across the state of New York. Forget Mean Girls, she’s your metaphorical Homeowner’s Association president. With that understanding of what most people think of Hochul, it should come as no surprise that she made yet another gaffe with voters, this time black voters, by suggesting that black kids didn’t know what the word computer meant in The Bronx. Beyond an accidentally racist comment that would drown a … Continue reading 2026 Gubernatorial Election Predictions, 5-12-2024, Kathy Hochul Makes An Accidental Racist Comment About Black Students And Computers

2026-2028 Senate Election Predictions, 3-2-2024, The Issue With Trumpian Senators In 2024

The newer class of Trumpian Senators can be exemplified by one word…meh. Consider that all of them have structural issues regarding their credibility between Sen. Eric Schmitt (R-MO) being taken down in internet arguments regularly (he was the moderate alternative in 2022 against former Gov. Eric Greitens (R-MO), mind you), Tommy Tuberville (R-AL) making enemies left, right, and center over his blocking of military promotions that ended up failing anyway, and then J.D. Vance (R-OH) who has managed to be a performance artist on many fronts. While some of these politicians were cheered on by some individuals, as I had … Continue reading 2026-2028 Senate Election Predictions, 3-2-2024, The Issue With Trumpian Senators In 2024

Democratic Banter #332, Stacey Abram’s (D-GA) Fair Fight Organization Lays Off Staff, Democratic Party Efforts Could Suffer In Georgia

When Stacey Abrams launched her Fair Fight organization to make Georgia competitive for Democrats, the state did become competitive for her party with the state’s two Senate seats and several House seats either flipping or becoming closer to flipping. The caveat for Abrams, however, was that she couldn’t seal the deal as a gubernatorial candidate in 2018, proceeded to blow much of her popularity as a potential candidate for 2022 by alleging voter suppression throughout the interlude between the two elections, and then losing to Governor Brian Kemp (R-GA) by an even larger margin than before by about 8%. This … Continue reading Democratic Banter #332, Stacey Abram’s (D-GA) Fair Fight Organization Lays Off Staff, Democratic Party Efforts Could Suffer In Georgia

Religious Banter #63, The Connection Between Church Attendance Regularity, Education, and Party Affiliation (The Issue With The Far-Right And Atheism/Faux Christianity)

There was recently a chart put out by Ryan Burge that compared the political affiliation of white Christians who accomplished different levels of educational attainment and who had different levels of reported church attendance and how their votes shifted from 2008-2022. While the numbers are aggregated from the four major branches of white evangelism (Protestants, Mormons, Catholics, and Orthodox Christians), the results all told a compelling story in the trendline. As church attendance and education both increase, the Republican edge decreases over that part of the electorate as witnessed by the past fourteen years between Barack Obama’s first election and … Continue reading Religious Banter #63, The Connection Between Church Attendance Regularity, Education, and Party Affiliation (The Issue With The Far-Right And Atheism/Faux Christianity)

Hypothetical Maps, 10-8-2023, A Breakdown Of Pennsylvania Voter Registration Trendlines In Recent Numbers

Keeping the theme of geography going this week, voter registration in Pennsylvania can best be summarized as a localized phenomenon based on party and where parties are gaining. From a statewide perspective, Republicans have been gaining statewide for the past few years closing a gap of 1.2 million people during the 2008 presidential election to just about 450,000 people currently. With the new automatic voter registration system implemented in the state, there is some thinking that Democrats might be able to cut into the GOP-leaning trendline heading into 2024, but the question becomes what are the party hopes across the … Continue reading Hypothetical Maps, 10-8-2023, A Breakdown Of Pennsylvania Voter Registration Trendlines In Recent Numbers

Religious Banter #60, Portugal’s Religious Divide Is Literally North And South

Whenever looking at maps of other countries, I find it useful to sometimes appreciate the nuances that geography, history, and politics can have on that country. In the case of Portugal, there was a map done of their irreligiosity from the year 2021 where the entire country was mapped based on what percentage of the population identified as irreligious or atheist. The results came back nearly a perfect north/south split where the northern half of the country which is predominantly mountainous besides the coastal cities is more heavily religious and the southern parts of Portugal where the larger cities like … Continue reading Religious Banter #60, Portugal’s Religious Divide Is Literally North And South

Republican Banter #323, Laura Loomer Continues A Series Of Comments on Why the GOP Isn’t Winning The Black Vote

There has been something that has gotten under my skin regarding the Trump mugshot in that some of the comments by people in Donald Trump’s hardcore base who think that his appeal has somehow improved among a long-sought-after and never-won group: African Americans. Mathematically this logic has never panned out for Republicans in the past sixty years with the minority vote won being of either Asian, Hispanic, Native American, or some other group other than African Americans voting Republican. During the 2022 midterms when Republicans won the popular vote for the House of Representatives, the GOP may have actually lost … Continue reading Republican Banter #323, Laura Loomer Continues A Series Of Comments on Why the GOP Isn’t Winning The Black Vote

Republican Banter #319, Voter Registration Numbers from Florida and North Carolina (August 2023 Comparison)

While candidate quality is usually the determining factor in if a candidate has a chance in an election that is considered winnable at the start, having favorable voter registration numbers for your party helps as well. Consider what is happening with Florida and North Carolina where the two states are boasting higher GOP voter registration numbers than Democratic numbers for several months continuously with registered unaffiliated or “independents” being the main beneficiaries nationwide. What are the numbers suggesting?             According to Carolina Elections, the voter registration trends from January to August 2023 in North Carolina have shown that while the … Continue reading Republican Banter #319, Voter Registration Numbers from Florida and North Carolina (August 2023 Comparison)

Strange Numbers #268, The Depressing State Of The Economy (Social Security, Cuts To Benefits, and $700 More At The Grocery Store Per Month Compared To Two Years Ago)

Remember how inflation is a number that continues to haunt the Biden Administration despite the government having three continuous years of interest rate hikes to slow down said inflation rates? That number can be quantified by new data from Moody’s Analytics where the average household this past July, according to CNN, spent $700 more at the grocery store, than they did two years ago at the same time. This is despite the average wages not catching up at the same rate meaning that the average homeowner is losing money just affording their basic food expenses compared to years past. While … Continue reading Strange Numbers #268, The Depressing State Of The Economy (Social Security, Cuts To Benefits, and $700 More At The Grocery Store Per Month Compared To Two Years Ago)

Hypothetical Graphs, 8-20-2023, A Somewhat Perfect Visual Example of The Four Reigning Political Ideologies In Western Democracies

There was a graph that I saw earlier this year that I was meaning to comment on, but I became caught up in the tide of other stories that flooded my timeline that I was trying to get to. When you work a full-time job with this being a hobby proving political commentary, you do the best you can. One of my favorite Twitter pages that I follow, Irish Patriot, released a graph that shows four main types of voters in a hypothetical election in a Western democracy where the party systems can usually be defined by some recognizable metrics … Continue reading Hypothetical Graphs, 8-20-2023, A Somewhat Perfect Visual Example of The Four Reigning Political Ideologies In Western Democracies